When you see catastrophe in any data point, clearly all points will demonstrate catastrophe. In our current "drought" in California, we are on pace to have the wettest year ever. Someone famously said that the current permanent drought will end only...

5 Answers · Yahoo Products · 10/01/2017

A really good book is

**Bayesian**Data Analysis, Second Edition, by Andrew...2 Answers · Science & Mathematics · 24/06/2006

... to form reduced-form or structural equation

**modeling**). The simplest way to go about it ... the Akaike information criterion and the**Bayesian**information criterion. There are much more...4 Answers · Science & Mathematics · 05/01/2013

...on previous trends, although it can also be done using statistical models .

1 Answers · Computers & Internet · 22/03/2011

... as it does, given that the model is the true model in nature?"

**Bayesian**statistics answers "what is the probability the model is the...4 Answers · Science & Mathematics · 08/04/2013

... opinion of the persistence of the trend. Think

**Bayesian**analysis -- modification of probabilities...'d say you have a good first-pass model . I agree that weighting the fundamental ...4 Answers · Business & Finance · 06/03/2011

One important implementation of

**Bayesian**forecasting is the Multi...unrelated time series, this article develops a**Bayesian**forecasting method called C...1 Answers · Business & Finance · 19/11/2008

... might be considered a "Frequentist" analog of a

**Bayesian**model , since one is basically counting the magnitudes of the causal...3 Answers · Science & Mathematics · 12/02/2012

...with its neighboring populations. Both model -free and

**Bayesian**model -based clustering analyses indicated a close genetic...2 Answers · Travel · 16/11/2010

... Data, and it fits remarkably well, beating even the

**Bayesian**model for the same data.2 Answers · Education & Reference · 16/08/2012